2018-2019 Season

Talk UMass Hockey. Home of the 2021 National Champions!
78
Hall of Fame
Posts: 8078
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2003 11:52 pm
Location: Near Boston

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by 78 » Tue Feb 12, 2019 3:14 pm

Clearly this team is going to make the NCAA's, and I like to see this Monte Carlo simulation that gives us 100% chance of getting in. That said, just keep winning in order to achieve the highest seed possible.

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratin ... Matrix.php
Bamford has erased McCutcheon

TruBluMaroon
Hall of Fame
Posts: 3192
Joined: Wed Apr 23, 2003 11:25 am

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by TruBluMaroon » Sat Feb 16, 2019 11:22 pm

78 wrote: Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:21 pm We fall to #3 as Ohio State passes us...#3 is at a minimum, 18 places higher than I expected us to be at this point in the season. :D :D
OSU swept at home, looks like back to #2. St Cloud State was off this weekend.

McKinney
Senior
Posts: 1385
Joined: Mon Nov 13, 2017 10:12 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by McKinney » Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 am

UMass is tied for first place in the pairwise rankings with St. Cloud State.
Class of 2019 - @StatsMass

69MG
Hall of Fame
Posts: 12093
Joined: Sat Feb 05, 2011 11:07 pm
Location: Western Mass

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by 69MG » Sun Feb 17, 2019 9:59 am

We have a 6 point lead with 5 games to play, including 2 vs UConn and 1 against Merrimac, two of the bottom teams in HE. The new chant is "5 points in 5 games". That clinches first place in HE. We could also back in but I want to finish strong.

78
Hall of Fame
Posts: 8078
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2003 11:52 pm
Location: Near Boston

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by 78 » Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:46 am

For all the haters in the rest of college hockey who said UMass was not for real and was going to fall off the map, here are some selected performances for the second half of this season: UMass 9-4, St. Cloud 8-3-1, Ohio State 10-3-1, UMD 8-4, Q 8-3-2, Denver 8-3-2, Minn. State 10-2-2, Lowell 9-3-1
Last edited by 78 on Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
Bamford has erased McCutcheon

78
Hall of Fame
Posts: 8078
Joined: Tue Apr 01, 2003 11:52 pm
Location: Near Boston

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by 78 » Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:47 am

McKinney wrote: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 am UMass is tied for first place in the pairwise rankings with St. Cloud State.
According to what I read, we are still number 2:

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/ncaapwcr.php
Bamford has erased McCutcheon

McKinney
Senior
Posts: 1385
Joined: Mon Nov 13, 2017 10:12 pm
Location: New Brunswick, NJ

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by McKinney » Sun Feb 17, 2019 11:08 am

78 wrote: Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:47 am
McKinney wrote: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:32 am UMass is tied for first place in the pairwise rankings with St. Cloud State.
According to what I read, we are still number 2:

https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/ncaapwcr.php
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Tied for first on USCHO's pairwise. Either way, this team is amazing.

https://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise ... s/d-i-men/
Class of 2019 - @StatsMass

User avatar
Dickie Dunn
Junior
Posts: 657
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2008 9:25 pm
Location: Capturing the spirit of the thing

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by Dickie Dunn » Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:43 pm

The relevance is that they actually do break ties using the RPI as the tiebreaker when it comes to things such as seeding, final at-large berths, etc.
So while SC and UMass are "tied", SC is considered the No. 1 team.

For instance, if two teams are tied at 4-5, the No. 4 team (based on better RPI) likely would be a 1 seed and the No. 5 team a 2 seed.

Teams also will be assigned to regionals differently depending on whether a team there is the No. 1 overall seed or the No. 2 overall seed.
I wrote this ... it's gotta be true.

mdogt12
Hall of Fame
Posts: 3364
Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 2:30 pm
Location: maine

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by mdogt12 » Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:29 pm

69MG wrote: Sun Feb 17, 2019 9:59 am We have a 6 point lead with 5 games to play, including 2 vs UConn and 1 against Merrimac, two of the bottom teams in HE. The new chant is "5 points in 5 games". That clinches first place in HE. We could also back in but I want to finish strong.
Yeah magic number is 5. Need 5 points to clinch #1 seed can be done with wins, ties, or Lowell losses or ties. Just take care of the 2 home games and steal one on the road.

User avatar
jjmc85
Senior
Posts: 1283
Joined: Sun Mar 16, 2008 10:07 am
Location: Boston, MA

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by jjmc85 » Mon Feb 18, 2019 8:36 am

One point needed to definitely get home ice in the quarterfinals. Worst UMass can do is tie for fourth, so it might already be clinched. Not sure how to do the multi team tie breakers. Hockey East hasn’t exactly been consistent in how they’ve done it in the past either.
UMass Football: 22-3 at home when I was a student.

Leave the A-10!

TruBluMaroon
Hall of Fame
Posts: 3192
Joined: Wed Apr 23, 2003 11:25 am

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by TruBluMaroon » Mon Feb 18, 2019 9:53 am

jjmc85 wrote: Mon Feb 18, 2019 8:36 am One point needed to definitely get home ice in the quarterfinals. Worst UMass can do is tie for fourth, so it might already be clinched. Not sure how to do the multi team tie breakers. Hockey East hasn’t exactly been consistent in how they’ve done it in the past either.
I am sure that whatever decision they previosly made was consistent in how it benefitted BC and BU

User avatar
jjmc85
Senior
Posts: 1283
Joined: Sun Mar 16, 2008 10:07 am
Location: Boston, MA

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by jjmc85 » Mon Feb 18, 2019 10:24 am

Don’t get me started. It didn’t actually happen, but they did switch how a potential multi team tie wold be broken. Press releases from previous years had ties broken from bottom up, and then the press releases from that year had a top down process. As a result, I think it was BU who would make the quarterfinals instead of UMass if this ridiculous 3 or 4 team tie happened. At the end of the first period of the last night, every score was the wrong way so it looked like UMass would be out. A few scores flipped so it was fine. I think this was 2010 or 2011, but I’m still mad about it even though it never happened.
UMass Football: 22-3 at home when I was a student.

Leave the A-10!

User avatar
Dickie Dunn
Junior
Posts: 657
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2008 9:25 pm
Location: Capturing the spirit of the thing

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by Dickie Dunn » Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm

Most tiebreakers should work that you try to eliminate teams to eventually get to just two teams remaining for one spot. Unfortunately, the way they are worded often makes them more confusing.

For instance:

If three teams are tied for a spot, and it comes down to something like head-to-head records among the three teams, you would try to eliminate one of the three teams, and then start the tiebreaking steps over with the remaining two.
I wrote this ... it's gotta be true.

User avatar
UMass02
Senior
Posts: 1255
Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2003 8:14 am

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by UMass02 » Mon Feb 18, 2019 2:14 pm

According to CHN’s pairwise probability matrix, UMass is a 100% lock to make the NCAAs at this point - 48% chance they get the at-large bid and a 52% chance they do it by winning the Hockey East tournament championship.

Online
User avatar
InnervisionsUMASS
Hall of Fame
Posts: 17641
Joined: Fri Apr 04, 2003 1:32 am
Location: Milford, MA
Contact:

Re: 2018-2019 Season

Post by InnervisionsUMASS » Mon Feb 18, 2019 2:23 pm

Back to #2.
Stop waiting for UMass to do something big and help UMass do something big. - Shades

Post Reply