2018-2019 Season
Re: 2018-2019 Season
Clearly this team is going to make the NCAA's, and I like to see this Monte Carlo simulation that gives us 100% chance of getting in. That said, just keep winning in order to achieve the highest seed possible.
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratin ... Matrix.php
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratin ... Matrix.php
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
UMass is tied for first place in the pairwise rankings with St. Cloud State.
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
We have a 6 point lead with 5 games to play, including 2 vs UConn and 1 against Merrimac, two of the bottom teams in HE. The new chant is "5 points in 5 games". That clinches first place in HE. We could also back in but I want to finish strong.
Re: 2018-2019 Season
For all the haters in the rest of college hockey who said UMass was not for real and was going to fall off the map, here are some selected performances for the second half of this season: UMass 9-4, St. Cloud 8-3-1, Ohio State 10-3-1, UMD 8-4, Q 8-3-2, Denver 8-3-2, Minn. State 10-2-2, Lowell 9-3-1
Last edited by 78 on Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
Bamford has erased McCutcheon
Re: 2018-2019 Season
According to what I read, we are still number 2:
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/ncaapwcr.php
Bamford has erased McCutcheon
Re: 2018-2019 Season
¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Tied for first on USCHO's pairwise. Either way, this team is amazing.78 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:47 amAccording to what I read, we are still number 2:
https://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/ncaapwcr.php
https://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise ... s/d-i-men/
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
The relevance is that they actually do break ties using the RPI as the tiebreaker when it comes to things such as seeding, final at-large berths, etc.
So while SC and UMass are "tied", SC is considered the No. 1 team.
For instance, if two teams are tied at 4-5, the No. 4 team (based on better RPI) likely would be a 1 seed and the No. 5 team a 2 seed.
Teams also will be assigned to regionals differently depending on whether a team there is the No. 1 overall seed or the No. 2 overall seed.
So while SC and UMass are "tied", SC is considered the No. 1 team.
For instance, if two teams are tied at 4-5, the No. 4 team (based on better RPI) likely would be a 1 seed and the No. 5 team a 2 seed.
Teams also will be assigned to regionals differently depending on whether a team there is the No. 1 overall seed or the No. 2 overall seed.
I wrote this ... it's gotta be true.
Re: 2018-2019 Season
Yeah magic number is 5. Need 5 points to clinch #1 seed can be done with wins, ties, or Lowell losses or ties. Just take care of the 2 home games and steal one on the road.
Re: 2018-2019 Season
One point needed to definitely get home ice in the quarterfinals. Worst UMass can do is tie for fourth, so it might already be clinched. Not sure how to do the multi team tie breakers. Hockey East hasn’t exactly been consistent in how they’ve done it in the past either.
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
I am sure that whatever decision they previosly made was consistent in how it benefitted BC and BUjjmc85 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 8:36 am One point needed to definitely get home ice in the quarterfinals. Worst UMass can do is tie for fourth, so it might already be clinched. Not sure how to do the multi team tie breakers. Hockey East hasn’t exactly been consistent in how they’ve done it in the past either.
Re: 2018-2019 Season
Don’t get me started. It didn’t actually happen, but they did switch how a potential multi team tie wold be broken. Press releases from previous years had ties broken from bottom up, and then the press releases from that year had a top down process. As a result, I think it was BU who would make the quarterfinals instead of UMass if this ridiculous 3 or 4 team tie happened. At the end of the first period of the last night, every score was the wrong way so it looked like UMass would be out. A few scores flipped so it was fine. I think this was 2010 or 2011, but I’m still mad about it even though it never happened.
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
Most tiebreakers should work that you try to eliminate teams to eventually get to just two teams remaining for one spot. Unfortunately, the way they are worded often makes them more confusing.
For instance:
If three teams are tied for a spot, and it comes down to something like head-to-head records among the three teams, you would try to eliminate one of the three teams, and then start the tiebreaking steps over with the remaining two.
For instance:
If three teams are tied for a spot, and it comes down to something like head-to-head records among the three teams, you would try to eliminate one of the three teams, and then start the tiebreaking steps over with the remaining two.
I wrote this ... it's gotta be true.
Re: 2018-2019 Season
According to CHN’s pairwise probability matrix, UMass is a 100% lock to make the NCAAs at this point - 48% chance they get the at-large bid and a 52% chance they do it by winning the Hockey East tournament championship.
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Re: 2018-2019 Season
Back to #2.
Stop waiting for UMass to do something big and help UMass do something big. - Shades