Point Spread Official Thread

[Camby4Life]

Vegas opened GM at -3.5 and it’s already up to -5.5 this morning.

[stevemaz]

this probably means no Noah again? Based on our history this year in league road games this line is accurate, but i think somehow we prevail tonight. Im taking the pts albeit need to go through my buddy who is set up in CT.

[eldonabe]

Umass now getting 6.5 as of 1PM

[Camby4Life]

Umass now getting 6.5 as of 1PM

Still at 6.5 and moneyline opened at +145 and is up to +220. This is good for Umass, big line movements usually play out the other way.

[eldonabe]

Umass now getting 6.5 as of 1PM

Still at 6.5 and moneyline opened at +145 and is up to +220. This is good for Umass, big line movements usually play out the other way.

Not in this case however.....

[Camby4Life]

Umass now getting 6.5 as of 1PM

Still at 6.5 and moneyline opened at +145 and is up to +220. This is good for Umass, big line movements usually play out the other way.

Not in this case however.....

Looked like it was at the 3 minute mark of the 1st half and then the 8 minute mark of the 2nd half.

Umass now 0-5 SU and ATS in A-10 on road

[stevemaz]

I think Davidson -1.5 on Sat so take Umass. Next weds it will be Fordham by 4.5 to 5.. take Fordham. I think we break the ice next Sat at Lasalle where we will be 1-2 pt underdog and will come away with win.

[eldonabe]

As of right now:

Umass -2 home Davidson (142) - I suspect this will move closer to a pick'em by tipoff
Umass +5 at Fordham (145)

They are currently favored in 4 of the last 9 games with Rhody being a 1 point favorite

[inthescoop]

As of right now:

Umass -2 home Davidson (142) - I suspect this will move closer to a pick'em by tipoff
Umass +5 at Fordham (145)

They are currently favored in 4 of the last 9 games with Rhody being a 1 point favorite

What site do you use predicting these spreads?

[eldonabe]

As of right now:

Umass -2 home Davidson (142) - I suspect this will move closer to a pick'em by tipoff
Umass +5 at Fordham (145)

They are currently favored in 4 of the last 9 games with Rhody being a 1 point favorite

What site do you use predicting these spreads?

I have paid access to the KenPom site. They are pretty accurate to [at least] the opening lines. I like to use them to bet the day before based on what direction I think lines are going to move on game day. I try to take advantage of potential line swings. It is way easier for football and hoops, but you can still find values that way.

[stevemaz]

i see line opened Umass -1 but I bet it swings to Davidson -1. Im not a huge fan of Kenpom because his formula uses final scores where he should have some sort of diminishing returns built into his equation. A Lot of these games get out of hand in the last few minutes and sometimes a team down 15 cuts it to 8. Not to mention, he has UMass way underrated

[Camby4Life]

Opened at Umass -1.5 142.5 and it’s currently at Davidson -1.5 and 140.5.

Lots of people fading Umass last couple of weeks.

[eldonabe]

Opened at Umass -1.5 142.5 and it’s currently at Davidson -1.5 and 140.5.

Lots of people fading Umass last couple of weeks.

As well they should be

[Camby4Life]

Umass now 0-6 SU and ATS on the road in A10. Hopefully some are following this thread and making money.

[inthescoop]

Umass now 0-6 SU and ATS on the road in A10. Hopefully some are following this thread and making money.

Eh, betting against your team every game is a bit depressing.