jjmc85 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 20, 2024 11:03 pm
69MG wrote: ↑Wed Mar 20, 2024 3:31 pm
Does anyone have a clue as to how Pairwise is calculated?
Also in RPI, home wins and road losses count as 0.8 wins/losses. Road wins and home losses count as 1.2 wins/losses. This is to incentivize teams playing OOC on the road as you get more credit for a road win, less credit for a home win, more punishment for a home loss, and less punishment for a road loss.
Listening to the Colorado College coach on the CHNsiders podcast. They were the first team out. He was asked what if anything he thinks should change about the pairwise, and he pointed out that they went into the playoffs at 11th in the pairwise and had a home playoff series against number 12 UNO. On the other hand, WMU who is in their conference and in the tournament went into the playoffs at 13th on the road against number 16 St. Cloud St. Both went 1-2 and lost their series. But because of home/road splits, CC for RPI purposes went 0.8-2.4. WMU went 1.2-1.6.
He said he thinks that playoff series shouldn’t have this weight and should be considered as neutral sites which have 1 win/1 loss for each team for pairwise. He further said that if he had a choice, he would have played the series at Omaha to protect their pairwise. He pointed out how WMU was rewarded in this situation for finishing 6th.
I think it’s a really fascinating point I’d never considered, and the host Adam Wooden said he didn’t think of it either. The CC coach has a pretty good point and teams shouldn’t be punished for earning home ice in the playoffs/rewarded for not earning it.
He didn’t bring up what UMass did in the postseason but Mike McMahon the other host did. UMass went into the playoffs at 15th and won a road game against the 14th at the time IIRC then lost a neutral game to 1. This means they went 1.2-1 for RPI purposes. They were on the road cause PC won a shootout the last day of the regular season. Instead if PC had lost in regulation they would have been at home. Assuming the results would have been the same at Mullins Center, that would have dropped to 0.8-1. I couldn’t figure out how to switch the location of the PC-UMass game on the CHN site to recalculate but and since UMass beat CC by 0.0003 in RPI it’s not out of the realm of possibilities that PC getting home ice was the difference between which side of the bubble UMass was on.
UMass Football: 22-3 at home when I was a student.
Leave the A-10!